Following is a note from Allen Chrisman, Co-chair of the NFLA’s Fire Mitigation Committee…
Greetings! Tap here for the latest Wildland Fire Potential Outlook. There is a slight change from the previous Outlooks for the Northern Rockies in that we have moved out of the “Above Normal” large fire activity back down to “Normal.” This means we can expect our normal active fire season in August through September. You all can see that our live fuels (shrubs and grasses) have more live fuel moisture than normal for this late in the summer – although with the heat we are seeing things have cured out faster over the past week or so. That will continue of course, but better now than back at the first of July!!
As the air masses push up from the Four Corners area, they will bring enough moisture for convection (lightning) but likely not enough for wet thunderstorms. So, expect a reasonable amount of initial attack – but things are not as likely to get up and run compared to other years when we have been in more drought conditions. We’ll see what the weather brings – if we get into a sustained hot/dry/windy period, we can see some very aggressive fire behavior.